Durability: Spann finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (71% vs 29% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Perez's wrestling (2.3 takedowns per 15) against Nicolau's striking is the central exchange: Nicolau stops 90% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Perez finished 3× on record
| Attribute | Perez | Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 65.5″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #15 Flyweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Perez has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute.
Favors NicolauPerez averages 2.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Nicolau has stopped 90% of attempts on record.
Favors NicolauPerez has finished 71% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors PerezPerez has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Perez keeps landing takedowns at 2.3 per 15 minutes; if Nicolau stays upright, the striking rates (3.8 vs 3.3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
