Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.


The evidence points to a finishing gap (100% vs 57% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Volume against volume: 5.6 and 6.5 significant strikes per minute. Defense and accuracy, not output, separate them.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 5 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Procházka | Stirling |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 29 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′4″ |
| Reach | 80″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #2 Light Heavyweight | #5 Light Heavyweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Procházka has 5 archived five-round fights to Stirling’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors ProcházkaProcházka has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 5.7 strikes per minute; Stirling has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors StirlingProcházka has finished 100% of archived wins (5 KO/TKO, 1 submission).
Favors ProcházkaRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 45% and 58%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.