Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (75% vs 38% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 4 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Preux | Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 36 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 80″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Preux has 4 archived five-round fights to Okami’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors PreuxPreux holds a 5-inch reach edge (80" to 75"); Okami has to cross distance to land.
Favors PreuxOkami has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2.3 strikes per minute.
Favors PreuxWho sets the range in round one: Preux holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 47% and 60%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.