Grappling: 2.8 takedowns / 15 vs 77% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Volume against volume: 5.1 and 4.9 significant strikes per minute. Defense and accuracy, not output, separate them.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 8 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Dillashaw | Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 29 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Rank | Unranked | #6 Bantamweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Dillashaw has 8 archived five-round fights to Sandhagen’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors DillashawSandhagen holds a 3-inch reach edge (70" to 67"); Dillashaw has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors SandhagenDillashaw has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.5 strikes per minute.
Favors SandhagenWho sets the range in round one: Sandhagen holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 62% and 55%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
