Durability: Preux finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.1 vs 0.4 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Teixeira | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 31 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′4″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Smith has finished 88% of archived wins (5 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors SmithTeixeira averages 2.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Smith has stopped 50% of attempts on record.
Favors SmithTeixeira has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 4.4 strikes per minute.
Favors SmithTeixeira has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Smith stays upright, the striking rates (3.7 vs 3.2 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
