Pace: 5.8 vs 3.5 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.8 vs 4.5 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (4.3 vs 3 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 4.5 takedowns / 15 vs 73% defense
| Attribute | Yadong | Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 30 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #3 Bantamweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Simon averages 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Yadong has stopped 73% of attempts on record.
Favors YadongYadong lands 4.3 significant strikes per minute to Simon’s 3: a real volume gap.
Favors YadongSimon holds a 2-inch reach edge (69" to 67"); Yadong has to cross distance to land.
Favors SimonWatch the first takedown attempt from Simon: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Simon keeps landing takedowns at 4.5 per 15 minutes; if Yadong stays upright, the striking rates (4.3 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
