Grappling: 3.6 takedowns / 15 vs 83% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (100% vs 0% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Fisher | Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 23 |
| Height | 5′7″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Fisher has finished 100% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors FisherStout holds a 2-inch reach edge (70" to 68"); Fisher has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors Stout3.2 and 4.2 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (43% vs 28%) decides the exchanges.
Fisher has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 64% and 57%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
