Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.8 vs 3.1 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Stephens finished 3× on record
| Attribute | Swanson | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Stephens has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 3.3 strikes per minute.
Favors SwansonSwanson lands 4.8 significant strikes per minute to Stephens’ 3.1: a real volume gap.
Favors SwansonStephens has 18 archived bouts to Swanson’s 6: the deeper book of tape belongs to Stephens.
Favors StephensRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Swanson averages 4.8 landed per minute to Stephens at 3.1, so Stephens needs the counters to land clean (40% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
