Distance: 3-inch reach difference
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The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Two grapplers by the numbers (2.1 and 3.4 takedowns per 15). Whoever wins the first clinch battle sets the terms for the rest.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 3.4 takedowns / 15 vs 60% defense
| Attribute | Teixeira | Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 30 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Bader averages 3.4 takedowns per 15 minutes; Teixeira has stopped 60% of attempts on record.
Favors TeixeiraBader has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute; Teixeira has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors TeixeiraTeixeira has finished 75% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 4.
Favors TeixeiraTeixeira has 2 first-round finishes in the last 4 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Bader stays upright, the striking rates (3.7 vs 2.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
