Grappling: 3.1 takedowns / 15 vs 53% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (100% vs 40% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Florian's wrestling (2.2 takedowns per 15) against Thomas's striking is the central exchange: Thomas stops 76% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Florian | Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 30 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 74″ | Not published |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Florian has finished 100% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors FlorianFlorian averages 2.2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Thomas has stopped 76% of attempts on record.
Favors Thomas2.4 and 1.9 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (40% vs 37%) decides the exchanges.
Florian has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Florian keeps landing takedowns at 2.2 per 15 minutes; if Thomas stays upright, the striking rates (2.4 vs 1.9 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
