Durability: Aldo finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Neal's output (5 per minute) against Thompson's more selective 4: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 7 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Thompson | Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 30 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Thompson has 7 archived five-round fights to Neal’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors ThompsonNeal has finished 83% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors Neal4 and 5 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (46% vs 50%) decides the exchanges.
Neal has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 54% and 57%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
