Durability: Magny finished 5× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (5.1 vs 3.3 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (100% vs 40% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 5.1 takedowns / 15 vs 75% defense
| Attribute | Gamrot | Tsarukyan |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 25 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 70.5″ | 72.5″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | #10 Lightweight | #2 Lightweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Gamrot averages 5.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Tsarukyan has stopped 75% of attempts on record.
Favors TsarukyanTsarukyan holds a 2-inch reach edge (72.5" to 70.5"); Gamrot has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors TsarukyanGamrot has finished 100% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 1 submission).
Favors GamrotWatch the first takedown attempt from Gamrot: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Gamrot keeps landing takedowns at 5.1 per 15 minutes; if Tsarukyan stays upright, the striking rates (3.1 vs 3.9 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
