Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (67% vs 22% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Vettori's output (4.7 per minute) against Cannonier's more selective 4.3: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 4-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Cannonier | Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 39 | 29 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 77.5″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Switch | Southpaw |
| Rank | #11 Middleweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Cannonier holds a 4-inch reach edge (77.5" to 74"); Vettori has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors CannonierCannonier has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 4.4 strikes per minute; Vettori has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors VettoriCannonier has finished 67% of archived wins (6 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors CannonierWho sets the range in round one: Cannonier holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 56%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
