Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (6.2 vs 3.9 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 6.2 vs 3.9 landed / min
| Attribute | Hill | Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 29 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′6″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 82″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Hill lands 6.2 significant strikes per minute to Walker’s 3.9: a real volume gap.
Favors HillWalker holds a 3-inch reach edge (82" to 79"); Hill has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors WalkerWalker has finished 80% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors WalkerWalker has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Hill averages 6.2 landed per minute to Walker at 3.9, so Walker needs the counters to land clean (54% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
