Grappling: 1.7 takedowns / 15 vs 68% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 5 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Werdum | Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 32 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 78″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Werdum has 5 archived five-round fights to Tybura’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors WerdumWerdum has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.6 strikes per minute; Tybura has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors TyburaWerdum averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Tybura has stopped 70% of attempts on record.
Favors TyburaRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 54%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
