Grappling: 4.5 takedowns / 15 vs 68% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (6 vs 1.7 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (13% vs 50% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 6 takedowns / 15 vs 86% defense
| Attribute | Dvalishvili | Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 30 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 67″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Rank | #1 Bantamweight | Bantamweight Champion |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Dvalishvili averages 6 takedowns per 15 minutes; Yan has stopped 86% of attempts on record.
Favors YanYan has 4 archived five-round fights to Dvalishvili’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors Yan4.4 and 5.2 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (41% vs 54%) decides the exchanges.
Watch the first takedown attempt from Dvalishvili: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Dvalishvili keeps landing takedowns at 6 per 15 minutes; if Yan stays upright, the striking rates (4.4 vs 5.2 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
