Durability: Mir finished 6× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Henderson's wrestling (2.4 takedowns per 15) against Melendez's striking is the central exchange: Melendez stops 71% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 3 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Henderson | Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Height | 5′9″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 73″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Henderson has 3 archived five-round fights to Melendez’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors HendersonMelendez holds a 3-inch reach edge (73" to 70"); Henderson has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors MelendezHenderson averages 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes; Melendez has stopped 71% of attempts on record.
Favors MelendezWatch the first takedown attempt from Henderson: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Henderson keeps landing takedowns at 2.4 per 15 minutes; if Melendez stays upright, the striking rates (2.9 vs 3.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
