Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.4 vs 1.4 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 3.4 takedowns / 15 vs 62% defense
| Attribute | Johnson | Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Height | 5′3″ | 5′4″ |
| Reach | 66″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Johnson averages 3.4 takedowns per 15 minutes; Benavidez has stopped 62% of attempts on record.
Favors BenavidezJohnson has 4 archived five-round fights to Benavidez’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors JohnsonBenavidez has finished 50% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors BenavidezWatch the first takedown attempt from Johnson: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Johnson keeps landing takedowns at 3.4 per 15 minutes; if Benavidez stays upright, the striking rates (3.4 vs 3.5 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
