RESULT · WIN+154 · DOG UNDERDOG
Christian Edwards
vs Rodolfo Bellato
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · Sep 26, 2026
- Model win probability
- 64.6%
- Market implied
- 37.8%
- PBE Edge
- +26.8 pts
LOCKED BEFORE THE FIGHT · PERMANENT RECORD
Every eligible bout. Independent win probabilities. Confidence. PBE Edge. Fight DNA. Official calls lock before the fight and are graded afterward — with the record left intact.
PBE Algo scores every eligible UFC bout from pre-fight data, produces its own win probability and confidence, compares that probability with the fight-week market, and locks the official call before the fight. The result is graded afterward. No hindsight and no deleted losses.
PBE Algo scores every eligible UFC bout from pre-fight data only. UFC Pro gets the fighter call, win probability, confidence and data quality, fight-week consensus and best available odds, the de-vigged market probability, PBE Edge, and the model's own drivers for and against. Ineligible bouts show NO MODEL CALL with the reason instead of forcing a pick.
Locked on the database clock before the fight. Graded against the stored official result. Corrections are dated revisions; losses do not disappear. Graded fights can train challenger models, but the live champion cannot silently replace itself.
PBE Picks are the decision surface. Fight DNA is the evidence-backed fighter and matchup layer underneath it — versioned context that goes far beyond a record or a raw stat dump:
Fight DNA reconstructs the underlying fight record into a versioned analytical feature system with explicit sample size, confidence and provenance. PBE derived
Raw data tells you what happened. Fight DNA describes the fighter the data reveals. No promise of profitable betting, no claim of predictive certainty: Pro sells intelligence, not guaranteed outcomes.
Opponent stance, pace, attack distribution, grappling context and as-of historical features are rebuilt as versioned intelligence rather than a stat dump.
Card changes, official weigh-ins, news state and future market snapshots belong in the same bout timeline so the context present when a decision was made is never lost.
If PropBetEdge does not have a verified line, model output or enough sample to support a claim, the product says so. Locked means locked until the evidence exists.
Follow the sport, inspect the evidence and see how PBE Algo works before paying for a call.
The favorite is not automatically the PBE Pick. Upset Radar isolates calls where the model's selected fighter was a market underdog at the recorded decision point.
The public ledger shows only already-graded historical proof. Upcoming fighter calls remain behind the verified UFC Pro entitlement.
vs Rodolfo Bellato
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · Sep 26, 2026
Showcase cards are the largest graded wins only. The record above includes every graded PBE underdog call, including losses and no-decisions.