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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Aljamain SterlingRound 3Renan Barao
24 / 50Sig. strikes5 / 38
48%Accuracy13%
35 / 62Total strikes10 / 43
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
1:50Control0:47
4.8Pace / min1.0
70%Control share30%
Aljamain Sterling
Targethead 54% · body 29% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 79% · clinch 21% · ground 0%
Renan Barao
Targethead 80% · body 20% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 80% · clinch 20% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAljamain Sterling landed 24 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeAljamain Sterling held 110s of control to 47s.Striking edgeAljamain Sterling struck at 48% accuracy to 13%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downAljamain Sterling's significant-strike pace moved -33% from R2 to R3, 4.8 against 7.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftAljamain Sterling's significant-strike accuracy moved -19 pts, 48% against 67%.
Phase shiftAljamain Sterling's ground share of landed strikes moved -69 pts, to 0% on the ground against 79% at distance.
Control swingAljamain Sterling's control time moved -120s, 110s against 230s.
Defensive driftAljamain Sterling absorbed significant strikes +25% faster than in R2, 1.0 against 0.8 per minute.
Pace upRenan Barao's significant-strike pace moved +25% from R2 to R3, 1.0 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRenan Barao's significant-strike accuracy moved -10 pts, 13% against 24%.
Target shiftRenan Barao's head share of landed strikes moved +30 pts, to 80% head with 20% body and 0% leg.
Grappling pressureRenan Barao attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Aljamain Sterling
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Renan Barao
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
71Aljamain Sterling sig. strikes
19Renan Barao sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+227%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Aljamain Sterling)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
