The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Brad KatonaRound 3Jesse Butler
45 / 75Sig. strikes21 / 68
60%Accuracy31%
63 / 99Total strikes22 / 71
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
1:30Control0:00
9.0Pace / min4.2
100%Control share0%
Brad Katona
Targethead 80% · body 7% · leg 13%
Phasedistance 58% · clinch 0% · ground 42%
Jesse Butler
Targethead 67% · body 24% · leg 10%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeBrad Katona landed 45 significant strikes to 21.Control edgeBrad Katona held 90s of control to 0s.Striking edgeBrad Katona struck at 60% accuracy to 31%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upBrad Katona's significant-strike pace moved +200% from R2 to R3, 9.0 against 3.0 per minute.
Target shiftBrad Katona's head share of landed strikes moved -20 pts, to 80% head with 7% body and 13% leg.
Phase shiftBrad Katona's ground share of landed strikes moved -58 pts, to 42% on the ground against 58% at distance.
Control swingBrad Katona's control time moved -199s, 90s against 289s.
Defensive driftBrad Katona absorbed significant strikes +950% faster than in R2, 4.2 against 0.4 per minute.
Pace upJesse Butler's significant-strike pace moved +950% from R2 to R3, 4.2 against 0.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJesse Butler's significant-strike accuracy moved -36 pts, 31% against 67%.
Target shiftJesse Butler's head share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 67% head with 24% body and 10% leg.
Defensive driftJesse Butler absorbed significant strikes +200% faster than in R2, 9.0 against 3.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Brad Katona
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Jesse Butler
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
68Brad Katona sig. strikes
30Jesse Butler sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+950%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Jesse Butler)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
