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- UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
- Brad Katona vs Matthew Lopez
Bantamweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalPhoto:
ESPN · via Wikimedia Commons
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Saturday, December 8, 2018 · Toronto · Ontario
Result
Brad Katona def. Matthew Lopez
Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Brian BeauchampPatrick Goulah · 27-30Jason Rodgers · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Brad KatonaRound 3Matthew Lopez
16 / 54Sig. strikes23 / 51
30%Accuracy45%
16 / 54Total strikes29 / 57
0Knockdowns0
0 / 2Takedowns1 / 2
0Sub. attempts1
0:13Control0:00
3.2Pace / min4.6
100%Control share0%
Brad Katona
Targethead 69% · body 19% · leg 13%
Phasedistance 94% · clinch 6% · ground 0%
Matthew Lopez
Targethead 39% · body 22% · leg 39%
Phasedistance 91% · clinch 4% · ground 4%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatthew Lopez landed 23 significant strikes to 16.Striking edgeMatthew Lopez struck at 45% accuracy to 30%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
- Pace downBrad Katona's significant-strike pace moved -30% from R2 to R3, 3.2 against 4.6 per minute.
- Accuracy shiftBrad Katona's significant-strike accuracy moved -16 pts, 30% against 46%.
- Target shiftBrad Katona's head share of landed strikes moved +21 pts, to 69% head with 19% body and 13% leg.
- Grappling pressureBrad Katona attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
- Defensive driftBrad Katona absorbed significant strikes +28% faster than in R2, 4.6 against 3.6 per minute.
- Pace upMatthew Lopez's significant-strike pace moved +28% from R2 to R3, 4.6 against 3.6 per minute.
- Target shiftMatthew Lopez's head share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 39% head with 22% body and 39% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Brad Katona
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Matthew Lopez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
76Brad Katona sig. strikes
69Matthew Lopez sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-38%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Brad Katona)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
76 / 158Sig. strikes69 / 142
48%Accuracy49%
86 / 170Total strikes79 / 155
0Knockdowns0
0 / 3Takedowns4 / 6
0Sub attempts1
0:13Control0:55
40Head41
12Body17
24Leg11
Brad KatonaMatthew Lopez
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
|
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record10-4-0
26Age31
5'6"Height5'7"
64"Reach69"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
4.81Sig. str./min3.13
1.86TD / 15 min3.32
Brad Katona3-5 in archive
0KO/TKO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
Matthew Lopez2-3 in archive
