The fight ended by Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in round 5 at 2:46, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports results ↗
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 42/94 | Sig. strikes45% · 54% | 111/207 |
| 80/132 | Total strikes | 138/237 |
| 4/11 | Takedowns | 0/0 |
| 8:53 | Control | 3:51 |
| 1 | Reversals | 1 |
| 29/72 | Head | 75/161 |
|---|---|---|
| 8/16 | Body | 17/21 |
| 5/6 | Leg | 19/25 |
| 34/79 | Distance | 98/189 |
|---|---|---|
| 4/7 | Clinch | 5/8 |
| 4/8 | Ground | 8/10 |
Both breakdowns decompose the same significant-strike totals, once by target and once by position, so each adds back to the sig. strikes line above.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allen’s No. 4 ranking raises the stakes, but Duncan’s reach, efficiency and five-fight winning streak make this a tightly priced clash of competing routes to victory.
Allen has identified the championship rounds as the stress point, but Duncan’s cleaner striking and four-inch reach advantage complicate any simple late-finish thesis.
| R1 |
| Brendan Allen |
| 0 |
| 15/22 |
| 16/25 |
| 1/4 |
| 0 |
| 1:31 |
| 11 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 24/39 | 37/53 | 0/0 | 0 | 1:54 | 13 | 6 | 5 |
| R2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 10/24 | 33/47 | 1/2 | 1 | 2:49 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 14/27 | 14/27 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| R3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 6/6 | 22/23 | 1/3 | 0 | 2:57 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 6/6 | 13/15 | 0/0 | 0 | 1:57 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| R4 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 17/43 | 17/43 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 46/89 | 46/89 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 28 | 8 | 10 |
| R5 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 3/12 | 3/12 | 1/2 | 1 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 16/28 | 16/28 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 12 | 2 | 2 |
Duncan’s team chose the division’s No. 4 contender, but the betting case depends less on that confidence than on whether his range striking can survive Allen’s takedown and submission pressure.
