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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Brian EbersoleRound 3TJ Waldburger
10 / 15Sig. strikes4 / 12
67%Accuracy33%
35 / 45Total strikes8 / 18
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts1
3:27Control0:00
2.0Pace / min0.8
100%Control share0%
Brian Ebersole
Targethead 60% · body 20% · leg 20%
Phasedistance 40% · clinch 10% · ground 50%
TJ Waldburger
Targethead 50% · body 25% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 25% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeBrian Ebersole landed 10 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeBrian Ebersole held 207s of control to 0s.Striking edgeBrian Ebersole struck at 67% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downBrian Ebersole's significant-strike pace moved -29% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 2.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftBrian Ebersole's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 67% against 78%.
Target shiftBrian Ebersole's head share of landed strikes moved -40 pts, to 60% head with 20% body and 20% leg.
Phase shiftBrian Ebersole's ground share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 50% on the ground against 40% at distance.
Grappling pressureBrian Ebersole attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Defensive driftBrian Ebersole absorbed significant strikes +300% faster than in R2, 0.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Pace upTJ Waldburger's significant-strike pace moved +300% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Target shiftTJ Waldburger's head share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 50% head with 25% body and 25% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Brian Ebersole
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
TJ Waldburger
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
39Brian Ebersole sig. strikes
18TJ Waldburger sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+300%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (TJ Waldburger)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
