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- UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
- Carla Esparza vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Women's Strawweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalUFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
Saturday, May 9, 2020 · Jacksonville · Florida
Result
Carla Esparza def. Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Dan MiragliottaDave Tirelli · 30-27Sal D'amato · 28-29Howard Reichbach · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Carla EsparzaRound 3Michelle Waterson-Gomez
25 / 54Sig. strikes22 / 44
46%Accuracy50%
25 / 54Total strikes22 / 44
0Knockdowns0
0 / 6Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
0:11Control0:00
5.0Pace / min4.4
100%Control share0%
Carla Esparza
Targethead 72% · body 16% · leg 12%
Phasedistance 84% · clinch 16% · ground 0%
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Targethead 36% · body 32% · leg 32%
Phasedistance 91% · clinch 9% · ground 0%
What changed from R2
- Pace upCarla Esparza's significant-strike pace moved +67% from R2 to R3, 5.0 against 3.0 per minute.
- Target shiftCarla Esparza's head share of landed strikes moved -15 pts, to 72% head with 16% body and 12% leg.
- Grappling pressureCarla Esparza attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 6 against 3.
- Defensive driftCarla Esparza absorbed significant strikes +69% faster than in R2, 4.4 against 2.6 per minute.
- Pace upMichelle Waterson-Gomez's significant-strike pace moved +69% from R2 to R3, 4.4 against 2.6 per minute.
- Target shiftMichelle Waterson-Gomez's head share of landed strikes moved +13 pts, to 36% head with 32% body and 32% leg.
- Defensive driftMichelle Waterson-Gomez absorbed significant strikes +67% faster than in R2, 5.0 against 3.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Carla Esparza
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
45Carla Esparza sig. strikes
44Michelle Waterson-Gomez sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+200%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Carla Esparza)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
45 / 103Sig. strikes44 / 98
44%Accuracy45%
48 / 106Total strikes44 / 98
0Knockdowns0
1 / 10Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub attempts0
0:46Control0:00
34Head15
6Body13
5Leg16
Carla EsparzaMichelle Waterson-Gomez
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
| R1 |
Tale of the tape
20-8-0Record18-13-0
32Age34
5'1"Height5'3"
63"Reach62"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
2.19Sig. str./min3.42
3.28TD / 15 min1.39
Carla Esparza7-5 in archive
1KO/TKO wins
0Sub wins
14%Finish rate
