Unanimous decision. Every judge scored the bout for Chris Duncan.
Scorecards as recorded by UFC Stats · source ↗ · fighter attribution derived from the recorded result, not assumed from score order · how this is built
No market observation could be sourced for this bout.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two fighter histories. One matchup-specific intelligence layer. Fight DNA compares relevant historical characteristics from each fighter — stance interaction, pace, finish patterns, round progression and context — rather than treating career averages as isolated numbers. Every observation below traces to stored evidence with its sample and confidence.
Stance interaction: Chris Duncan's archived results against opponents listed with Mateusz Rebecki's stance. Historical split, not causation.
| R1 |
| Chris Duncan |
| 0 |
| 19/62 |
| 19/62 |
| 0/1 |
| 0 |
| 0:00 |
| 10 |
| 6 |
| 3 |
| Mateusz Rebecki | 0 | 32/74 | 38/81 | 0/1 | 0 | 1:00 | 20 | 1 | 11 |
| R2 | Chris Duncan | 0 | 25/62 | 26/63 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| Mateusz Rebecki | 0 | 38/88 | 38/88 | 1/1 | 0 | 0:19 | 32 | 0 | 6 |
| R3 | Chris Duncan | 0 | 48/98 | 50/100 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:27 | 40 | 6 | 2 |
| Mateusz Rebecki | 0 | 44/105 | 47/109 | 1/4 | 0 | 0:04 | 36 | 6 | 2 |
Stance interaction: Mateusz Rebecki's archived results against opponents listed with Chris Duncan's stance. Historical split, not causation.
Each fighter's stored metric side by side, with its own sample and confidence. Bars compare magnitude only.
Emitted only when the underlying metric clears its sample threshold; otherwise it lands in the counter-case column.
Mateusz Rebecki is 4-1-0 in 5 UFC bouts against orthodox opponents (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 2 decision wins), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2024-10-27.
50% of Mateusz Rebecki's 4 wins against orthodox opponents came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission), across 4 bouts / 12 rounds / 55.6 min as of 2024-10-27.
Chris Duncan kept 153% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 5 bouts / 7 rounds / 30.3 min of stat-covered fights as of 2025-03-23.
Mateusz Rebecki kept 45% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 5 bouts / 8 rounds / 38.0 min of stat-covered fights as of 2024-10-27.
R3 pace retention: Chris Duncan 153% (5 bouts / 7 rounds / 30.3 min) vs Mateusz Rebecki 45% (5 bouts / 8 rounds / 38.0 min); delta +107% toward Chris Duncan.
Takedown attempts / 15 min: Chris Duncan 9.20 (5 bouts / 10 rounds / 44.0 min) vs Mateusz Rebecki 4.32 (5 bouts / 12 rounds / 55.6 min); delta +4.88 toward Chris Duncan.
Takedown accuracy: Chris Duncan 44% (5 bouts / 10 rounds / 44.0 min) vs Mateusz Rebecki 81% (5 bouts / 12 rounds / 55.6 min); delta -37% toward Mateusz Rebecki.
60% of Chris Duncan's 5 UFC wins came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2025-03-23.
50% of Mateusz Rebecki's 4 UFC wins came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 0 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2024-10-27.
What the record cannot support for this pairing, stated instead of hidden.
