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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Clay GuidaRound 3Erik Koch
13 / 25Sig. strikes2 / 7
52%Accuracy29%
50 / 71Total strikes4 / 10
0Knockdowns0
1 / 5Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:57Control0:00
2.6Pace / min0.4
100%Control share0%
Clay Guida
Targethead 77% · body 23% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Erik Koch
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeClay Guida landed 13 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeClay Guida held 237s of control to 0s.Striking edgeClay Guida struck at 52% accuracy to 29%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downClay Guida's significant-strike pace moved -41% from R2 to R3, 2.6 against 4.4 per minute.
Target shiftClay Guida's head share of landed strikes moved -19 pts, to 77% head with 23% body and 0% leg.
Grappling pressureClay Guida attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 5 against 1.
Pace downErik Koch's significant-strike pace moved -33% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 0.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Clay Guida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Erik Koch
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
38Clay Guida sig. strikes
13Erik Koch sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+633%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Clay Guida)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.