Unanimous decision. Every judge scored the bout for Clay Guida.
Scorecards as recorded by UFC Stats · source ↗ · fighter attribution derived from the recorded result, not assumed from score order · how this is built
No market observation could be sourced for this bout.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two fighter histories. One matchup-specific intelligence layer. Fight DNA compares relevant historical characteristics from each fighter — stance interaction, pace, finish patterns, round progression and context — rather than treating career averages as isolated numbers. Every observation below traces to stored evidence with its sample and confidence.
Stance interaction: Clay Guida's archived results against opponents listed with Tatsuya Kawajiri's stance. Historical split, not causation.
Stance interaction: Tatsuya Kawajiri's archived results against opponents listed with Clay Guida's stance. Historical split, not causation.
| R1 |
| Clay Guida |
| 1 |
| 15/20 |
| 20/25 |
| 1/1 |
| 0 |
| 3:18 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 10 |
| Tatsuya Kawajiri | 0 | 4/12 | 6/14 | 1/2 | 0 | 1:06 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| R2 | Clay Guida | 0 | 14/21 | 23/30 | 1/7 | 0 | 4:00 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| Tatsuya Kawajiri | 0 | 11/16 | 26/31 | 0/2 | 0 | 0:04 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| R3 | Clay Guida | 0 | 18/27 | 49/58 | 1/2 | 0 | 1:41 | 10 | 6 | 2 |
| Tatsuya Kawajiri | 0 | 4/23 | 4/23 | 0/1 | 1 | 1:36 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Each fighter's stored metric side by side, with its own sample and confidence. Bars compare magnitude only.
Emitted only when the underlying metric clears its sample threshold; otherwise it lands in the counter-case column.
Clay Guida is 7-5-0 in 12 UFC bouts against orthodox opponents (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 4 decision wins), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2013-09-01.
43% of Clay Guida's 7 wins against orthodox opponents came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission), across 7 bouts / 34 rounds / 159.0 min as of 2013-09-01.
Clay Guida kept 108% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 18 bouts / 31 rounds / 142.4 min of stat-covered fights as of 2013-09-01.
Distance attack share: Clay Guida 78% (18 bouts / 50 rounds / 232.6 min) vs Tatsuya Kawajiri 28% (1 bout / 2 rounds / 5.8 min); delta +50% toward Clay Guida.
Ground attack share: Clay Guida 16% (18 bouts / 50 rounds / 232.6 min) vs Tatsuya Kawajiri 72% (1 bout / 2 rounds / 5.8 min); delta -56% toward Tatsuya Kawajiri.
Takedown attempts / 15 min: Clay Guida 8.58 (18 bouts / 50 rounds / 232.6 min) vs Tatsuya Kawajiri 30.86 (1 bout / 2 rounds / 5.8 min); delta -22.28 toward Tatsuya Kawajiri.
Takedown accuracy: Clay Guida 38% (18 bouts / 50 rounds / 232.6 min) vs Tatsuya Kawajiri 25% (1 bout / 2 rounds / 5.8 min); delta +13% toward Clay Guida.
Control seconds / takedown: Clay Guida 113 s (18 bouts / 50 rounds / 232.6 min) vs Tatsuya Kawajiri 83 s (1 bout / 2 rounds / 5.8 min); delta +30 s toward Clay Guida.
Submission attempts / 15 min: Clay Guida 0.84 (18 bouts / 50 rounds / 232.6 min) vs Tatsuya Kawajiri 2.57 (1 bout / 2 rounds / 5.8 min); delta -1.73 toward Tatsuya Kawajiri.
50% of Clay Guida's 10 UFC wins came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2013-09-01.
What the record cannot support for this pairing, stated instead of hidden.
