The fight ended by KO/TKO (Punch to Head At Distance) in round 1 at 3:37, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · UFC Stats ↗
No market observation could be sourced for this bout.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Roy Nelson | 2 |
Two fighter histories. One matchup-specific intelligence layer. Fight DNA compares relevant historical characteristics from each fighter — stance interaction, pace, finish patterns, round progression and context — rather than treating career averages as isolated numbers. Every observation below traces to stored evidence with its sample and confidence.
Stance interaction: Roy Nelson's archived results against opponents listed with Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira's stance. Historical split, not causation.
| 19/35 |
| 20/36 |
| 0/0 |
| 0 |
| 0:11 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira | 0 | 12/37 | 12/37 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Stance interaction: Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira's archived results against opponents listed with Roy Nelson's stance. Historical split, not causation.
Each fighter's stored metric side by side, with its own sample and confidence. Bars compare magnitude only.
Emitted only when the underlying metric clears its sample threshold; otherwise it lands in the counter-case column.
Roy Nelson is 4-4-0 in 8 UFC bouts against orthodox opponents (4 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 0 decision wins), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2013-10-20.
100% of Roy Nelson's 4 wins against orthodox opponents came by finish (4 KO/TKO, 0 submission), across 4 bouts / 16 rounds / 67.3 min as of 2013-10-20.
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is 5-2-0 in 7 UFC bouts against orthodox opponents (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision wins), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2013-06-09.
60% of Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira's 5 wins against orthodox opponents came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission), across 5 bouts / 15 rounds / 64.2 min as of 2013-06-09.
Roy Nelson kept 99% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 11 bouts / 17 rounds / 66.8 min of stat-covered fights as of 2013-10-20.
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira kept 65% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 9 bouts / 12 rounds / 50.6 min of stat-covered fights as of 2013-06-09.
R3 pace retention: Roy Nelson 99% (11 bouts / 17 rounds / 66.8 min) vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira 65% (9 bouts / 12 rounds / 50.6 min); delta +34% toward Roy Nelson.
Takedown attempts / 15 min: Roy Nelson 2.17 (11 bouts / 23 rounds / 96.8 min) vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira 4.62 (9 bouts / 18 rounds / 74.7 min); delta -2.45 toward Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira.
Control seconds / takedown: Roy Nelson 329 s (11 bouts / 23 rounds / 96.8 min) vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira 155 s (9 bouts / 18 rounds / 74.7 min); delta +174 s toward Roy Nelson.
Submission attempts / 15 min: Roy Nelson 0.15 (11 bouts / 23 rounds / 96.8 min) vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira 2.01 (9 bouts / 18 rounds / 74.7 min); delta -1.85 toward Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira.
100% of Roy Nelson's 6 UFC wins came by finish (0 KO/TKO, 0 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2013-10-20.
60% of Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira's 5 UFC wins came by finish (2 KO/TKO, 2 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2013-06-09.
What the record cannot support for this pairing, stated instead of hidden.
