The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:57
Conor McGregorRound 2Chad Mendes
27 / 41Sig. strikes16 / 20
66%Accuracy80%
46 / 60Total strikes20 / 24
1Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
0:04Control3:34
5.5Pace / min3.2
2%Control share98%
Conor McGregor
Targethead 81% · body 19% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 74% · clinch 0% · ground 26%
Chad Mendes
Targethead 94% · body 0% · leg 6%
Phasedistance 19% · clinch 0% · ground 81%
Statistical signals
Output edgeConor McGregor landed 27 significant strikes to 16.Control edgeChad Mendes held 214s of control to 4s.Striking edgeChad Mendes struck at 80% accuracy to 66%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upConor McGregor's significant-strike pace moved +44% from R1 to R2, 5.5 against 3.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftConor McGregor's significant-strike accuracy moved +29 pts, 66% against 37%.
Target shiftConor McGregor's head share of landed strikes moved +34 pts, to 81% head with 19% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftConor McGregor's ground share of landed strikes moved +26 pts, to 26% on the ground against 74% at distance.
Accuracy shiftChad Mendes's significant-strike accuracy moved +26 pts, 80% against 54%.
Phase shiftChad Mendes's ground share of landed strikes moved +61 pts, to 81% on the ground against 19% at distance.
Control swingChad Mendes's control time moved +109s, 214s against 105s.
Defensive driftChad Mendes absorbed significant strikes +44% faster than in R1, 5.5 against 3.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Conor McGregor
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Chad Mendes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
46Conor McGregor sig. strikes
31Chad Mendes sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+44%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Conor McGregor)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
