Kalshi settlement: Payton Talbott — YES
Market closedSettled
We started recording this market after trading began, so “First observed” is our first record, not the opening price.
Prediction-market prices, not sportsbook odds and not a PropBetEdge model. Settlement is the market venue's, not our result.
A draw or no contest pays 50¢ per contract.
The fight ended by KO/TKO (Punches) in round 1 at 2:09, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports results ↗
| 0 | Knockdowns | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5/6 | Sig. strikes83% · 57% | 25/44 |
| 5/6 | Total strikes | 27/46 |
| 0/2 | Takedowns | 0/0 |
| 0:22 | Control | 0:12 |
| 0 | Reversals | 0 |
| 3/4 | Head | 18/37 |
|---|---|---|
| 1/1 | Body | 5/5 |
| 1/1 | Leg | 2/2 |
| 5/6 | Distance | 17/33 |
|---|---|---|
| 0/0 | Clinch | 0/0 |
| 0/0 | Ground | 8/11 |
Both breakdowns decompose the same significant-strike totals, once by target and once by position, so each adds back to the sig. strikes line above.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
A PropBetEdge post-fight reset built from the verified result packet: what changed, what can be overreacted to and which markets deserve a fresh look the next time these fighters are priced.
Talbott overwhelmed Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 332, but his next opponent will determine whether the finish creates opportunity or simply inflates an already expensive market.
| Deiveson Figueiredo |
| 0 |
| 5/6 |
| 5/6 |
| 0/2 |
| 0 |
| 0:22 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Payton Talbott | 2 | 25/44 | 27/46 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:12 | 18 | 5 | 2 |
