The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 4:31
Demian MaiaRound 3Matt Brown
8 / 9Sig. strikes4 / 8
89%Accuracy50%
32 / 35Total strikes12 / 17
0Knockdowns0
0 / 5Takedowns0 / 0
2Sub. attempts0
3:46Control0:15
1.8Pace / min0.9
94%Control share6%
Demian Maia
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 25% · clinch 0% · ground 75%
Matt Brown
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Statistical signals
Output edgeDemian Maia landed 8 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeDemian Maia held 226s of control to 15s.Striking edgeDemian Maia struck at 89% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Phase shiftDemian Maia's ground share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 75% on the ground against 25% at distance.
Grappling pressureDemian Maia attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 5 against 3.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Demian Maia
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Matt Brown
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
17Demian Maia sig. strikes
10Matt Brown sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+100%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Matt Brown)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
