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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Derrick LewisRound 3Roy Nelson
10 / 23Sig. strikes2 / 9
43%Accuracy22%
10 / 23Total strikes22 / 32
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns2 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
0:00Control3:31
2.0Pace / min0.4
0%Control share100%
Derrick Lewis
Targethead 70% · body 30% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 60% · clinch 40% · ground 0%
Roy Nelson
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 100% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeDerrick Lewis landed 10 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeRoy Nelson held 211s of control to 0s.Striking edgeDerrick Lewis struck at 43% accuracy to 22%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upDerrick Lewis's significant-strike pace moved +233% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 0.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDerrick Lewis's significant-strike accuracy moved +20 pts, 43% against 23%.
Target shiftDerrick Lewis's head share of landed strikes moved +37 pts, to 70% head with 30% body and 0% leg.
Target shiftRoy Nelson's head share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Defensive driftRoy Nelson absorbed significant strikes +233% faster than in R2, 2.0 against 0.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Derrick Lewis
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Roy Nelson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
37Derrick Lewis sig. strikes
4Roy Nelson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+233%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Derrick Lewis)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.