The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 4:45
Forrest GriffinRound 3Mauricio Rua
20 / 31Sig. strikes3 / 7
65%Accuracy43%
51 / 65Total strikes10 / 14
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 2
2Sub. attempts0
2:44Control1:38
4.2Pace / min0.6
63%Control share37%
Forrest Griffin
Targethead 75% · body 20% · leg 5%
Phasedistance 10% · clinch 0% · ground 90%
Mauricio Rua
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Statistical signals
Output edgeForrest Griffin landed 20 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeForrest Griffin held 164s of control to 98s.Striking edgeForrest Griffin struck at 65% accuracy to 43%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downForrest Griffin's significant-strike pace moved -22% from R2 to R3, 4.2 against 5.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftForrest Griffin's significant-strike accuracy moved +14 pts, 65% against 51%.
Phase shiftForrest Griffin's ground share of landed strikes moved +20 pts, to 90% on the ground against 10% at distance.
Pace downMauricio Rua's significant-strike pace moved -71% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 2.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMauricio Rua's significant-strike accuracy moved +11 pts, 43% against 32%.
Target shiftMauricio Rua's head share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMauricio Rua's ground share of landed strikes moved +73 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Forrest Griffin
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Mauricio Rua
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
66Forrest Griffin sig. strikes
27Mauricio Rua sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-71%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Mauricio Rua)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
