The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Gleison TibauRound 3Jamie Varner
6 / 17Sig. strikes27 / 52
35%Accuracy52%
6 / 17Total strikes50 / 77
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns1 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
0:16Control1:58
1.2Pace / min5.4
12%Control share88%
Gleison Tibau
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Jamie Varner
Targethead 81% · body 19% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 41% · clinch 4% · ground 56%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJamie Varner landed 27 significant strikes to 6.Control edgeJamie Varner held 118s of control to 16s.Striking edgeJamie Varner struck at 52% accuracy to 35%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downGleison Tibau's significant-strike pace moved -54% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 2.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftGleison Tibau's significant-strike accuracy moved -41 pts, 35% against 76%.
Target shiftGleison Tibau's head share of landed strikes moved +15 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftGleison Tibau's ground share of landed strikes moved -100 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Grappling pressureGleison Tibau attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 0.
Control swingGleison Tibau's control time moved -244s, 16s against 260s.
Accuracy shiftJamie Varner's significant-strike accuracy moved +52 pts, 52% against 0%.
Grappling pressureJamie Varner attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 0.
Control swingJamie Varner's control time moved +118s, 118s against 0s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Gleison Tibau
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Jamie Varner
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
26Gleison Tibau sig. strikes
37Jamie Varner sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-100%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Jamie Varner)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
