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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 4:17
Gunnar NelsonRound 2Alex Oliveira
9 / 9Sig. strikes6 / 9
100%Accuracy67%
17 / 17Total strikes13 / 16
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 2
1Sub. attempts0
2:29Control1:22
2.1Pace / min1.4
65%Control share35%
Gunnar Nelson
Targethead 89% · body 11% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 11% · ground 89%
Alex Oliveira
Targethead 33% · body 33% · leg 33%
Phasedistance 33% · clinch 67% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeGunnar Nelson landed 9 significant strikes to 6.Control edgeGunnar Nelson held 149s of control to 82s.Striking edgeGunnar Nelson struck at 100% accuracy to 67%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upGunnar Nelson's significant-strike pace moved +425% from R1 to R2, 2.1 against 0.4 per minute.
Phase shiftGunnar Nelson's ground share of landed strikes moved +39 pts, to 89% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Pace downAlex Oliveira's significant-strike pace moved -77% from R1 to R2, 1.4 against 6.0 per minute.
Target shiftAlex Oliveira's head share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 33% head with 33% body and 33% leg.
Phase shiftAlex Oliveira's ground share of landed strikes moved -80 pts, to 0% on the ground against 33% at distance.
Grappling pressureAlex Oliveira attempted 2 more takedowns than in R1, 2 against 0.
Defensive driftAlex Oliveira absorbed significant strikes +425% faster than in R1, 2.1 against 0.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Gunnar Nelson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Alex Oliveira
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
11Gunnar Nelson sig. strikes
36Alex Oliveira sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+425%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Gunnar Nelson)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
