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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Jacob VolkmannRound 3Paul Kelly
4 / 13Sig. strikes11 / 19
31%Accuracy58%
18 / 27Total strikes17 / 27
0Knockdowns0
3 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts2
2:32Control1:23
0.8Pace / min2.2
65%Control share35%
Jacob Volkmann
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 25% · clinch 0% · ground 75%
Paul Kelly
Targethead 73% · body 18% · leg 9%
Phasedistance 27% · clinch 9% · ground 64%
Statistical signals
Output edgePaul Kelly landed 11 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeJacob Volkmann held 152s of control to 83s.Striking edgePaul Kelly struck at 58% accuracy to 31%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downJacob Volkmann's significant-strike pace moved -43% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 1.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJacob Volkmann's significant-strike accuracy moved -19 pts, 31% against 50%.
Phase shiftJacob Volkmann's ground share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 75% on the ground against 25% at distance.
Grappling pressureJacob Volkmann attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Defensive driftJacob Volkmann absorbed significant strikes +22% faster than in R2, 2.2 against 1.8 per minute.
Pace upPaul Kelly's significant-strike pace moved +22% from R2 to R3, 2.2 against 1.8 per minute.
Target shiftPaul Kelly's head share of landed strikes moved -16 pts, to 73% head with 18% body and 9% leg.
Phase shiftPaul Kelly's ground share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 64% on the ground against 27% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Jacob Volkmann
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Paul Kelly
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
32Jacob Volkmann sig. strikes
24Paul Kelly sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+125%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Paul Kelly)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
