Referee · Herb DeanJacob Montalvo · 27-30Mike Bell · 28-29Chris Flores · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Karl WilliamsRound 3Justin Tafa
8 / 11Sig. strikes6 / 16
73%Accuracy38%
34 / 44Total strikes7 / 18
0Knockdowns0
2 / 6Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:48Control0:00
1.6Pace / min1.2
100%Control share0%
Karl Williams
Targethead 50% · body 13% · leg 38%
Phasedistance 38% · clinch 0% · ground 63%
Justin Tafa
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 33% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeKarl Williams landed 8 significant strikes to 6.Control edgeKarl Williams held 228s of control to 0s.Striking edgeKarl Williams struck at 73% accuracy to 38%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downKarl Williams's significant-strike pace moved -60% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 4.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftKarl Williams's significant-strike accuracy moved +14 pts, 73% against 59%.
Target shiftKarl Williams's head share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 50% head with 13% body and 38% leg.
Phase shiftKarl Williams's ground share of landed strikes moved +13 pts, to 63% on the ground against 38% at distance.
Grappling pressureKarl Williams attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 6 against 2.
Control swingKarl Williams's control time moved +63s, 228s against 165s.
Pace downJustin Tafa's significant-strike pace moved -33% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 1.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJustin Tafa's significant-strike accuracy moved -23 pts, 38% against 60%.
Target shiftJustin Tafa's head share of landed strikes moved +44 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Karl Williams
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Justin Tafa
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
40Karl Williams sig. strikes
21Justin Tafa sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+67%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Karl Williams)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
