Referee · Jason HerzogDerek Cleary · 28-29Ron McCarthy · 28-29Chris Lee · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
King GreenRound 3Clay Guida
29 / 47Sig. strikes9 / 19
62%Accuracy47%
32 / 53Total strikes11 / 21
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns1 / 4
2Sub. attempts0
0:40Control2:01
5.8Pace / min1.8
25%Control share75%
King Green
Targethead 48% · body 41% · leg 10%
Phasedistance 66% · clinch 0% · ground 34%
Clay Guida
Targethead 44% · body 11% · leg 44%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeKing Green landed 29 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeClay Guida held 121s of control to 40s.Striking edgeKing Green struck at 62% accuracy to 47%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftKing Green's significant-strike accuracy moved +15 pts, 62% against 47%.
Phase shiftKing Green's ground share of landed strikes moved +34 pts, to 34% on the ground against 66% at distance.
Defensive driftKing Green absorbed significant strikes +50% faster than in R2, 1.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Pace upClay Guida's significant-strike pace moved +50% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftClay Guida's significant-strike accuracy moved +21 pts, 47% against 26%.
Control swingClay Guida's control time moved +101s, 121s against 20s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
King Green
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Clay Guida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
85King Green sig. strikes
23Clay Guida sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+50%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Clay Guida)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.