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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Kurt PellegrinoRound 3Josh Neer
6 / 11Sig. strikes15 / 21
55%Accuracy71%
37 / 51Total strikes30 / 36
0Knockdowns0
1 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
4:05Control0:20
1.2Pace / min3.0
92%Control share8%
Kurt Pellegrino
Targethead 67% · body 33% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 33% · clinch 0% · ground 67%
Josh Neer
Targethead 87% · body 13% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 13% · clinch 40% · ground 47%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJosh Neer landed 15 significant strikes to 6.Control edgeKurt Pellegrino held 245s of control to 20s.Striking edgeJosh Neer struck at 71% accuracy to 55%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downKurt Pellegrino's significant-strike pace moved -25% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 1.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftKurt Pellegrino's significant-strike accuracy moved +16 pts, 55% against 38%.
Target shiftKurt Pellegrino's head share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 67% head with 33% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftKurt Pellegrino's ground share of landed strikes moved +42 pts, to 67% on the ground against 33% at distance.
Defensive driftKurt Pellegrino absorbed significant strikes +114% faster than in R2, 3.0 against 1.4 per minute.
Pace upJosh Neer's significant-strike pace moved +114% from R2 to R3, 3.0 against 1.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJosh Neer's significant-strike accuracy moved +40 pts, 71% against 32%.
Target shiftJosh Neer's head share of landed strikes moved +15 pts, to 87% head with 13% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJosh Neer's ground share of landed strikes moved +18 pts, to 47% on the ground against 13% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Kurt Pellegrino
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Josh Neer
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
21Kurt Pellegrino sig. strikes
24Josh Neer sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+250%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Josh Neer)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
