Referee · John McCarthyMarcos Rosales · 27-30Cecil Peoples · 27-30Chris Lee · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Lyoto MachidaRound 3Sam Hoger
19 / 33Sig. strikes2 / 17
58%Accuracy12%
25 / 39Total strikes17 / 32
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
2:35Control0:05
3.8Pace / min0.4
97%Control share3%
Lyoto Machida
Targethead 74% · body 11% · leg 16%
Phasedistance 58% · clinch 21% · ground 21%
Sam Hoger
Targethead 50% · body 0% · leg 50%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeLyoto Machida landed 19 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeLyoto Machida held 155s of control to 5s.Striking edgeLyoto Machida struck at 58% accuracy to 12%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downLyoto Machida's significant-strike pace moved -27% from R2 to R3, 3.8 against 5.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftLyoto Machida's significant-strike accuracy moved -19 pts, 58% against 76%.
Phase shiftLyoto Machida's ground share of landed strikes moved -21 pts, to 21% on the ground against 58% at distance.
Pace downSam Hoger's significant-strike pace moved -50% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftSam Hoger's significant-strike accuracy moved -25 pts, 12% against 36%.
Target shiftSam Hoger's head share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 50% head with 0% body and 50% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Lyoto Machida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Sam Hoger
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
62Lyoto Machida sig. strikes
11Sam Hoger sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+53%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Lyoto Machida)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.