No market observation could be sourced for this bout.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Two fighter histories. One matchup-specific intelligence layer. Fight DNA compares relevant historical characteristics from each fighter — stance interaction, pace, finish patterns, round progression and context — rather than treating career averages as isolated numbers. Every observation below traces to stored evidence with its sample and confidence.
Stance interaction: Matheus Nicolau's archived results against opponents listed with John Moraga's stance. Historical split, not causation.
| Matheus Nicolau |
| 0 |
| 12/25 |
| 12/25 |
| 0/0 |
| 0 |
| 0:00 |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| John Moraga | 0 | 11/40 | 11/40 | 0/1 | 0 | 0:00 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| R2 | Matheus Nicolau | 0 | 19/35 | 19/35 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| John Moraga | 0 | 12/36 | 12/36 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| R3 | Matheus Nicolau | 0 | 10/25 | 22/38 | 0/1 | 0 | 0:43 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| John Moraga | 0 | 8/37 | 10/39 | 0/1 | 0 | 0:00 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
Stance interaction: John Moraga's archived results against opponents listed with Matheus Nicolau's stance. Historical split, not causation.
Each fighter's stored metric side by side, with its own sample and confidence. Bars compare magnitude only.
Emitted only when the underlying metric clears its sample threshold; otherwise it lands in the counter-case column.
John Moraga is 3-2-0 in 5 UFC bouts against orthodox opponents (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 1 decision wins), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2015-05-24.
67% of John Moraga's 3 wins against orthodox opponents came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission), across 3 bouts / 14 rounds / 66.6 min as of 2015-05-24.
John Moraga kept 108% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 8 bouts / 13 rounds / 59.0 min of stat-covered fights as of 2015-05-24.
Head attack share: Matheus Nicolau 77% (1 bout / 3 rounds / 13.4 min) vs John Moraga 64% (8 bouts / 22 rounds / 98.5 min); delta +13% toward Matheus Nicolau.
Clinch attack share: Matheus Nicolau 1% (1 bout / 3 rounds / 13.4 min) vs John Moraga 17% (8 bouts / 22 rounds / 98.5 min); delta -15% toward John Moraga.
Ground attack share: Matheus Nicolau 26% (1 bout / 3 rounds / 13.4 min) vs John Moraga 10% (8 bouts / 22 rounds / 98.5 min); delta +16% toward Matheus Nicolau.
Takedown attempts / 15 min: Matheus Nicolau 4.46 (1 bout / 3 rounds / 13.4 min) vs John Moraga 2.74 (8 bouts / 22 rounds / 98.5 min); delta +1.72 toward Matheus Nicolau.
Takedown accuracy: Matheus Nicolau 75% (1 bout / 3 rounds / 13.4 min) vs John Moraga 22% (8 bouts / 22 rounds / 98.5 min); delta +53% toward Matheus Nicolau.
Control seconds / takedown: Matheus Nicolau 132 s (1 bout / 3 rounds / 13.4 min) vs John Moraga 198 s (8 bouts / 22 rounds / 98.5 min); delta -66 s toward John Moraga.
Submission attempts / 15 min: Matheus Nicolau 3.35 (1 bout / 3 rounds / 13.4 min) vs John Moraga 0.91 (8 bouts / 22 rounds / 98.5 min); delta +2.43 toward Matheus Nicolau.
80% of John Moraga's 5 UFC wins came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2015-05-24.
What the record cannot support for this pairing, stated instead of hidden.
