Referee · John McCarthyNelson Hamilton · 28-29Tony Mullinax · 28-29Steve Rice · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matt LindlandRound 3Phil Baroni
15 / 30Sig. strikes31 / 51
50%Accuracy61%
42 / 59Total strikes45 / 65
0Knockdowns0
1 / 6Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
2:03Control0:29
3.0Pace / min6.2
81%Control share19%
Matt Lindland
Targethead 93% · body 7% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 13% · clinch 33% · ground 53%
Phil Baroni
Targethead 23% · body 77% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 10% · clinch 35% · ground 55%
Statistical signals
Output edgePhil Baroni landed 31 significant strikes to 15.Control edgeMatt Lindland held 123s of control to 29s.Striking edgePhil Baroni struck at 61% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upMatt Lindland's significant-strike pace moved +25% from R2 to R3, 3.0 against 2.4 per minute.
Target shiftMatt Lindland's head share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 93% head with 7% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMatt Lindland's ground share of landed strikes moved -13 pts, to 53% on the ground against 13% at distance.
Grappling pressureMatt Lindland attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 6 against 2.
Control swingMatt Lindland's control time moved -95s, 123s against 218s.
Defensive driftMatt Lindland absorbed significant strikes +933% faster than in R2, 6.2 against 0.6 per minute.
Pace upPhil Baroni's significant-strike pace moved +933% from R2 to R3, 6.2 against 0.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftPhil Baroni's significant-strike accuracy moved +34 pts, 61% against 27%.
Target shiftPhil Baroni's head share of landed strikes moved -44 pts, to 23% head with 77% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftPhil Baroni's ground share of landed strikes moved +55 pts, to 55% on the ground against 10% at distance.
Defensive driftPhil Baroni absorbed significant strikes +25% faster than in R2, 3.0 against 2.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Lindland
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Phil Baroni
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
40Matt Lindland sig. strikes
44Phil Baroni sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+933%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Phil Baroni)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
