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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matt SerraRound 3Chris Lytle
5 / 12Sig. strikes13 / 17
42%Accuracy76%
35 / 45Total strikes44 / 48
0Knockdowns0
1 / 4Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
3:05Control0:00
1.0Pace / min2.6
100%Control share0%
Matt Serra
Targethead 60% · body 40% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 20% · clinch 60% · ground 20%
Chris Lytle
Targethead 23% · body 77% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 8% · clinch 92% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeChris Lytle landed 13 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeMatt Serra held 185s of control to 0s.Striking edgeChris Lytle struck at 76% accuracy to 42%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downMatt Serra's significant-strike pace moved -29% from R2 to R3, 1.0 against 1.4 per minute.
Target shiftMatt Serra's head share of landed strikes moved +46 pts, to 60% head with 40% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMatt Serra's ground share of landed strikes moved +20 pts, to 20% on the ground against 20% at distance.
Pace downChris Lytle's significant-strike pace moved -24% from R2 to R3, 2.6 against 3.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftChris Lytle's significant-strike accuracy moved +11 pts, 76% against 65%.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Serra
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Chris Lytle
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
20Matt Serra sig. strikes
42Chris Lytle sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+42%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Chris Lytle)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
