The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Mauricio RuaRound 3Rogerio Nogueira
24 / 40Sig. strikes19 / 62
60%Accuracy31%
36 / 53Total strikes19 / 62
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts1
1:42Control0:00
4.8Pace / min3.8
100%Control share0%
Mauricio Rua
Targethead 54% · body 29% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 92% · clinch 0% · ground 8%
Rogerio Nogueira
Targethead 95% · body 5% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 95% · clinch 5% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMauricio Rua landed 24 significant strikes to 19.Control edgeMauricio Rua held 102s of control to 0s.Striking edgeMauricio Rua struck at 60% accuracy to 31%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upMauricio Rua's significant-strike pace moved +85% from R2 to R3, 4.8 against 2.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMauricio Rua's significant-strike accuracy moved -21 pts, 60% against 81%.
Grappling pressureMauricio Rua attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Defensive driftMauricio Rua absorbed significant strikes +217% faster than in R2, 3.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Pace upRogerio Nogueira's significant-strike pace moved +217% from R2 to R3, 3.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Target shiftRogerio Nogueira's head share of landed strikes moved +45 pts, to 95% head with 5% body and 0% leg.
Defensive driftRogerio Nogueira absorbed significant strikes +85% faster than in R2, 4.8 against 2.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Mauricio Rua
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Rogerio Nogueira
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
53Mauricio Rua sig. strikes
63Rogerio Nogueira sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+217%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Rogerio Nogueira)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.