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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 2:13
Rafael NatalRound 3Sean Spencer
23 / 28Sig. strikes0 / 5
82%Accuracy0%
35 / 40Total strikes0 / 5
0Knockdowns0
1 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
3Sub. attempts0
1:47Control0:00
10.4Pace / min0.0
100%Control share0%
Rafael Natal
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Sean Spencer
TargetNo strikes landed this round
PhaseNo strikes landed this round
Statistical signals
Output edgeRafael Natal landed 23 significant strikes to 0.Control edgeRafael Natal held 107s of control to 0s.Striking edgeRafael Natal struck at 82% accuracy to 0%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upRafael Natal's significant-strike pace moved +173% from R2 to R3, 10.4 against 3.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRafael Natal's significant-strike accuracy moved +23 pts, 82% against 59%.
Target shiftRafael Natal's head share of landed strikes moved +37 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftRafael Natal's ground share of landed strikes moved +47 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingRafael Natal's control time moved -98s, 107s against 205s.
Pace downSean Spencer's significant-strike pace moved -100% from R2 to R3, 0.0 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftSean Spencer's significant-strike accuracy moved -25 pts, 0% against 25%.
Defensive driftSean Spencer absorbed significant strikes +173% faster than in R2, 10.4 against 3.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Rafael Natal
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Sean Spencer
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
64Rafael Natal sig. strikes
12Sean Spencer sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+173%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Rafael Natal)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
