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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Ricardo AlmeidaRound 3Matt Horwich
11 / 17Sig. strikes7 / 13
65%Accuracy54%
23 / 29Total strikes22 / 28
0Knockdowns0
3 / 6Takedowns0 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
2:13Control1:11
2.2Pace / min1.4
65%Control share35%
Ricardo Almeida
Targethead 91% · body 9% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 91% · clinch 9% · ground 0%
Matt Horwich
Targethead 14% · body 43% · leg 43%
Phasedistance 29% · clinch 71% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRicardo Almeida landed 11 significant strikes to 7.Control edgeRicardo Almeida held 133s of control to 71s.Striking edgeRicardo Almeida struck at 65% accuracy to 54%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downRicardo Almeida's significant-strike pace moved -35% from R2 to R3, 2.2 against 3.4 per minute.
Phase shiftRicardo Almeida's ground share of landed strikes moved -59 pts, to 0% on the ground against 91% at distance.
Grappling pressureRicardo Almeida attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 6 against 3.
Control swingRicardo Almeida's control time moved -128s, 133s against 261s.
Defensive driftRicardo Almeida absorbed significant strikes +75% faster than in R2, 1.4 against 0.8 per minute.
Pace upMatt Horwich's significant-strike pace moved +75% from R2 to R3, 1.4 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Horwich's significant-strike accuracy moved -13 pts, 54% against 67%.
Grappling pressureMatt Horwich attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Control swingMatt Horwich's control time moved +61s, 71s against 10s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ricardo Almeida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Matt Horwich
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
41Ricardo Almeida sig. strikes
25Matt Horwich sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+75%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Matt Horwich)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
