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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:51
Ryan BaderRound 3Rogerio Nogueira
37 / 51Sig. strikes0 / 2
73%Accuracy0%
52 / 67Total strikes6 / 9
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:11Control0:00
9.6Pace / min0.0
100%Control share0%
Ryan Bader
Targethead 86% · body 14% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 5% · clinch 0% · ground 95%
Rogerio Nogueira
TargetNo strikes landed this round
PhaseNo strikes landed this round
Statistical signals
Output edgeRyan Bader landed 37 significant strikes to 0.Control edgeRyan Bader held 191s of control to 0s.Striking edgeRyan Bader struck at 73% accuracy to 0%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upRyan Bader's significant-strike pace moved +270% from R2 to R3, 9.6 against 2.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRyan Bader's significant-strike accuracy moved -14 pts, 73% against 87%.
Phase shiftRyan Bader's ground share of landed strikes moved +18 pts, to 95% on the ground against 5% at distance.
Control swingRyan Bader's control time moved -94s, 191s against 285s.
Pace downRogerio Nogueira's significant-strike pace moved -100% from R2 to R3, 0.0 against 0.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRogerio Nogueira's significant-strike accuracy moved -100 pts, 0% against 100%.
Defensive driftRogerio Nogueira absorbed significant strikes +270% faster than in R2, 9.6 against 2.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ryan Bader
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Rogerio Nogueira
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
86Ryan Bader sig. strikes
3Rogerio Nogueira sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+270%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Ryan Bader)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
