The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 4:05
Thiago MoisésRound 2Melquizael Costa
13 / 17Sig. strikes7 / 20
76%Accuracy35%
28 / 34Total strikes15 / 28
0Knockdowns0
3 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
2:42Control0:02
3.2Pace / min1.7
99%Control share1%
Thiago Moisés
Targethead 85% · body 15% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 23% · clinch 0% · ground 77%
Melquizael Costa
Targethead 14% · body 29% · leg 57%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeThiago Moisés landed 13 significant strikes to 7.Control edgeThiago Moisés held 162s of control to 2s.Striking edgeThiago Moisés struck at 76% accuracy to 35%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upThiago Moisés's significant-strike pace moved +77% from R1 to R2, 3.2 against 1.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftThiago Moisés's significant-strike accuracy moved +20 pts, 76% against 56%.
Target shiftThiago Moisés's head share of landed strikes moved +51 pts, to 85% head with 15% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftThiago Moisés's ground share of landed strikes moved +77 pts, to 77% on the ground against 23% at distance.
Pace downMelquizael Costa's significant-strike pace moved -46% from R1 to R2, 1.7 against 3.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMelquizael Costa's significant-strike accuracy moved -18 pts, 35% against 53%.
Defensive driftMelquizael Costa absorbed significant strikes +77% faster than in R1, 3.2 against 1.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Thiago Moisés
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Melquizael Costa
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
22Thiago Moisés sig. strikes
23Melquizael Costa sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+77%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Thiago Moisés)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
