Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov: bantamweight prelim preview at UFC 333

Colby Thicknesse lands 3.24 significant strikes per minute at 41% accuracy and absorbs 2.93 with 54% striking defence. He averages 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes at 7% accuracy and defends 33% of takedowns, with 1.7 submission attempts per 15. For Asaf Chopurov, our tables carry no round-level averages, so the comparison is one-sided: treat this as a description of what Thicknesse brings, not a matchup edge. A 3.24-per-minute output is mid-range for the division and does not by itself point at a market.

Round-level PropSports data exists for 9 archived rounds of Colby Thicknesse's: 146 of 355 significant strikes landed (41%), 16.2 per round, 2 of 28 takedowns, 10:46 of control time. That is a small sample and is offered as colour, not as a rate.

What could break the angle

Start with what is missing. Asaf Chopurov has no completed UFC bout in the PropBetEdge archive, so nothing here rests on Chopurov's fight-level history. Round-level striking and grappling averages are not on file for Asaf Chopurov, so pace, defence and takedown rates cannot be compared both ways. Reach is not listed for Asaf Chopurov, so the range read is missing a number. There is also no odds snapshot in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so nothing above can be checked against a market yet; the read describes what to look for, not where value sits. A late weigh-in miss, a replacement or a change in scheduled rounds would each invalidate parts of it.

Final read

On the data, neither fighter carries a material edge into this one; the tape is close and the archive does not separate them. The uncertainty is mostly about coverage: no career-to-date round statistics for Asaf Chopurov; archive shorter than 3 bouts for Asaf Chopurov; reach not listed. What to monitor: the weigh-in, the scheduled-rounds confirmation, and the opening price once one exists, because no market is singled out here. No model price or market line exists in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so this is not a pick; the Bettor's Edge panel above carries the impact score and the markets connected to the evidence.

Matchup page: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov · Full card: UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Fighter pages: Colby Thicknesse, Asaf Chopurov.